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PART III B: ECONOMIC
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Struble’s remarks to accompany 8th & 9th chapters [4½ minutes] Click Here |
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Chapter Eight_
An organized economic society is as
natural and as necessary as an
organized political society
Msgr. George Higgins, 1950[1]
After mechanized warfare the bitterest
thing in modern life is unemployment.
Stuart Chase
He sins who despises the hungry;
but happy is he who is kind to the poor!
Proverbs
14:21
The best kind of assistance is that which
encourages the needy to become the
primary artisans of their own social
and cultural development.
John Paul II, 1995[2]
══ INTERACTIVE CONTENTS ══
The Pain and Baneful Effects of Unemployment:
· The Supercapitalistic Perspective
II: Particular Features of the Arch-Amendment – Section Seven
A problem of economic structure
Automation,
Outsourcing, and technological progress
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Speculations on kinds of private enterprise projects (PEP)
The superiority of the contract system over force account.
Keeping the labor market competitive
Decentralization:
administration of PEP by the States
III: Plausible Objections Considered
Section seven’s approach is anti-growth
Outsourcing is good because the freer the trade, the more we prosper.
Unemployment promotes labor force mobility
Unemployment facilitates employee discipline
Full Employment is Inflationary
Chapter Eight_
A decent provision for the poor
is the true test of civilization.
Samuel Johnson, 1770
A simplistic and morally obtuse approach to economics is the notion that whatever drives national income down is bad, and whatever pushes it up is good. This approach overlooks many complexities, including the reality that when acquired by means of inflicting pain on others, a fortune is inherently inferior to a lesser amount earned honestly and considerately. Paying $1,000 to a slave trader degraded all parties to the transaction. The same sum for Harriet Tubman would ennoble everyone concerned.
In his Supercapitalism: The Transformation of Business, Democracy and Everyday Life ( Knopf, 2007), the economist Robert Reich emphasizes the distinction between Americans in our role as consumers/investors vis-à-vis our role as citizens. As citizens, Reich points out, we have altruistic sentiments quite separate from cold economic considerations like the GNP. Reich cites seven areas of citizen concern, including the way supercapitalists damage the planet (e.g. global warming) and pollute the culture by “pandering to our basest instincts for sexual titillation and violent thrill, …”[2a]
As a nation we ought to view Gross National Product (GNP or GDP) in the perspective portrayed so well by Robert F. Kennedy:
…Yet the gross national product does not allow for the health of our children, the quality of their education or the joy of their play. It does not include the beauty of our poetry, or the strength of our marriages, the intelligence of our public debate, or the integrity of our public officials. It measures neither our wit nor our courage, neither our wisdom nor our learning, neither our compassion nor our devotion to our county. It measures everything, in short, except that which makes life worthwhile. And it can tell us everything about America except why we are proud that we are Americans.
RFK, speech at the University of Kansas, 18 March 1968.
Victory in the cold war has reduced to desolation the economic system of communism. When the communist block did pose a genuine threat to capitalism and freedom, any American who chose to identify flaws in the capitalist system risked encountering nervous side-glances and political suspicion. Communism's formidable challenge having now faded into history, Americans are less inclined to look askance at reformers like former U.S. Labor Secretary, Robert Reich, who would have us fashion a “new, updated democratic capitalism,” one “more suited to our nobler aspirations for the twenty-first century.”[2b]
The alternative is the supercapitalist status quo, with its innate social irresponsibility, a consequence of private enterprise in the raw.[3] Under this postmodernist economic order, plutocrats and technocrats preside over a global economic web that affords no preferential option for the poor, and none of Abraham Lincoln’s “higher consideration” for labor. Backed by legions of lawyers, congressional lobbyists, and hired-gun economists, however, supercapitalists are very enthusiastic and quite effective in outflanking mandates for environmental responsibility, and in trashing the moral milieu in which citizens live and raise children.[3a]
As per this postmodernist version of capitalism, let us judge the tree by its fruit. Homelessness has risen so markedly since the advent of economic globalism that extremely impoverished people constitute a sizeable underclass inhabiting every inner city in the United States. As of 2002, estimates on the size of this underclass ranged from 13.5 million down to four million Americans. It was said that 7.5 percent of people who live in the USA are going to become homeless at some point in their lifetimes.[4]
Less stark than the destitution of the homeless, but still a bitter flaw in capitalism, is unemployment. As distinguished from the democratic capitalism that peaked during what Reich calls the “Not Quite Golden Age” (c.1945-75), supercapitalism demotes workers by cutting their wages and/or benefits, downgrading them to the status of underemployed, or pushing them all the way down to involuntary unemployment. Many work full-time, yet constitute the subject of David Shipler’s eye opening book, The Working Poor.[5]
In "Toward a Structural Solution to Unemployment," (1993) this writer analyzed means to create a full-employment economy within the structure of capitalism and free enterprise.[6] Let readers consider whether this plan’s time has come, and how it would impact them as ...
· consumers / investors
· workers
· U.S. citizens
· inhabitants within a common culture.
For those who wear the latter three hats, i.e. as workers, citizens and residents of the culture, full-employment will yield many benefits. However as consumers / investors, under this plan, we will have to pay some of the cost for structurally instituted full-employment. In return for ending unemployment, goods and services will cost a little more [up to 10% more] than for products produced by automated, labor saving methods, or by cheap, offshore labor.
Hopefully the reader/consumer is not Oscar Wilde's cynic who knows the price of everything and the value of nothing. The price of full-employment will be valuable to the consumers who also work, because the restructured labor market will be intrinsically more favorable to all workers, including those currently employed. Second, full-employment will give millions of citizens a stake in the productive business of America rather than leaving them as embittered and disaffected economic exiles. Reenfranchising them economically has to mean a more healthy and stable country politically. Third, full-employment will remove a cancer at the heart of American culture by diverting many people from the spiritual darkness of idleness to the positive spirituality of work.
As regards fundamental reform of America's supercapitalist system, our basic premise was stated by President Abraham Lincoln a century and a half ago:
Labor is prior to, and independent of capital.
Capital is only the fruit of labor,
and could never have existed if labor
had not first existed. Labor is the
superior of capital, and deserves
much the higher consideration.[7]
To put Lincoln's preferential option for labor into practice in the 21st century will require new initiatives that address the problems of unemployment and underemployment.
In the pledge allegiance to the American flag we assert the aim of "liberty and justice for all." These ideals and many of the rights set forth in the Constitution are but dim abstracts, however, for a breadwinner whom the economic system deprives of a gainful occupation. Such a citizen would find more relevant the scriptural admonition: "He slays his neighbor who deprives him of his living."[8] Thus a major purpose of the constellation law is to enhance constitutionally a human right declared "universal" by the United Nations, the right to a job,[9] or rather real opportunity relative to good job openings (as distinguished from guaranteed job security). Work is both crucial to the well being of an individual and basic to the vitality of an industrialized democracy.
The opposite of a job, involuntary unemployment, is "in all cases an evil," according to Pope John Paul II in his 1981 encyclical, On Human Work (Laborem Exercens).[10] Prolonged or frequent unemployment ranks among the most pernicious afflictions which the human personality can suffer. Loss of confidence or self-respect ensues with an eventual reduction in one's potential work efficiency and in ability to cope socially.[11] Lack of work is also a wide gate to the moral decline of the citizens in question, providing as it sometimes does the occasions and the incentives to embrace criminal or dissipated lifestyles.
A study in 1976 for the Joint Economic Committee of Congress, by Dr. Harvey Brenner of Johns Hopkins University, established a clear statistical relationship between unemployment rates during 1940-1973, and various social stress indicators, including national rates of suicide, patients in mental hospitals, prison admissions, homicides, and mortalities from cirrhosis of the liver. A one percent rise in the jobless rate — meaning an increase of about one million unemployed workers — "creates a legacy of stress, of aggression, and of illness affecting society long into the future."[12] As the American writer, Stuart Chase put it: "After mechanized warfare the bitterest thing in modern life is unemployment."[13]
Humanitarian considerations aside and viewed in the coldest terms of utility, unemployment remains a foreboding liability for the nation.[14] Jobless workers have low utility because they produce next to nothing for the economy. Many draw public assistance and constitute an economic deadweight upon the rest of the labor force.
Moreover, according to several studies the unemployed as a group exhibit abnormally high rates of costly antisocial behavior.[15] In New York City, for example, despair due to mass unemployment drew heavy blame for the rampage of vandalism, violence, burning and looting that marked the 1977 electrical blackout.[16] The Los Angeles riots of 1992 left 53 dead and over $1 billion in property damage, as seething discontent in the underclass became violent after an unpopular guilty verdict in the Rodney King trial. Hurricane Katrina (August-September, 2005) unleashed a torrent of social problems in New Orleans, including an orgy of murder and mayhem. During the months before the storm struck, official unemployment levels for 2005 were averaging about six percent for the city's working population overall, which is bad enough. Joblessness in the New Orleans underclass was considerably worse.
When the bitterness and resentment that springs from joblessness makes citizens into adversaries of civilization who shoot at rescue workers, it has severe disutility indeed, even to the extent that alienation of the unemployed might be decisive in some future threat to the Republic. As the late U.S. Senator Paul Simon warned, "Employed America is blissfully unaware of the powder keg on which it is comfortably seated."[19] Or as the economist, Noreena Hertz, put it more recently, “a world of gated communities next to ghettos is not only unconscionable, it is also dangerous.”[20]
The hundreds of homeowners, including wealthy residents of Laguna Beach, California, who watched their houses go up in gigantic brushfires set by arsonists in 1993, may have thought that the problem of homelessness was of little direct concern to themselves. Except that at least one of the arsonists was apparently a street person. A decade later in October, 2003, arson was a factor in even more damaging California fires, with more than 3500 homes destroyed, 80,000 people displaced, and 22 lives lost.
Four years passed in southern California until once again fires set by arsonists reeked havoc. Twenty fires during the month of October 2007 (some due to natural causes, some via arson, and one set by schoolchildren playing with matches) scorching some 400,000 acres, or more than 600 square miles in the San Diego/Los Angeles area. Nearly a million residents had to be evacuated, and more than 2000 homes and businesses went up in flames.[20a]
Analogously, the victims of arson in California were not so unlike that of socially complacent freemen a century and a half earlier in Illinois. In 1837 the "Martyr Abolitionist" and newspaperman, Elijah Lovejoy, was shot dead by a pro-slavery mob and his printing press dumped into the Mississippi River, prompting another abolitionist to write:
"The thousands of our citizens who lately
believed they had nothing to do with slavery,
now begin to discover their error."[21]
In Germany, high unemployment during the 1930's was a prime factor in the rise of Adolph Hitler. According to the historian Marshall Dill, "there can be no question that the promise which won Hitler the most votes in the black depression days was to end unemployment."[22] All Germans, including citizens indifferent toward the unemployed, had to suffer the experience of life under the Third Reich. In fact all Europeans during 1933-1945, not just the tens of millions who died, were in some way a victim of the dreadful regime that the poison of unemployment propelled to power.
Across the Atlantic, the Great Depression gave rise to high unemployment in the USA. Here too joblessness imperiled free institutions. Tens of millions of Americans gave credence to Fr. Charles Coughlin, the radio demagogue. Meanwhile, until his assassination, Senator Huey Long was bidding to become dictator of the United States, along the lines of his autocratic control in the state of Louisiana.
A U.S. Surgeon General stated the unemployment problem this way:
A man needs not only to be sound physically, but if his mental health is to be preserved, he must have self-reliance, the satisfaction of work, the joy of acquisition, the sense of equality, the opportunity of leading a normal family life, and the wholesomeness of recreation. Involuntary unemployment creates an attitude of helplessness, the sense of being beaten, a loss of initiative, of self-reliance and of courage, creates distrust of government and discontent with things as they are. It breeds pathological political philosophies, subversive of our present democratic institutions. This disillusionment with life produces first a secretive and later open opposition to authority. Juvenile delinquency, crime, are a result.[23]
According to philosopher, Jacques Maritain, the fundamental dispositions of human nature include satisfaction in work performed – a feeling which plays a key role in a person's mental well being. Maritain sees the sense of accomplishment and respect for a job well done as basic to human morality. He argues that a positive disposition toward work is one of the first movements of the personality toward self discipline.[24]
Another scholar notes that work has utility also in providing a person with "'a time structure, contact with people outside the family, a definition of personal status and identity, a link with goals other than those of the individual, and the enforcement of activity.'"[25] The wag will ask, were the horses who pulled the plow better off than their descendants whom the tractor has put out to pasture? We respond that unlike animals, men and women have an immortal spiritual nature. For human beings the satisfaction of work makes for better health than does an unsolicited state of leisure.
From the collective standpoint too; work upgrades society not only by developing the character of citizens individually, but also by bringing people together in common enterprises. As Pope John Paul II notes, "it is characteristic of work that it first and foremost unites people. In this consists its social power; the power to build a community."[26] In the absence of the socially unifying effect of work – even assuming that somehow material needs were fully provided – we would experience not an "ascent to leisure," as some utopians have theorized, but more likely a descent into social division and increasing civil strife.
The British economist, E.F. Schumacher, wrote that modern economics errs insofar as it tends to overlook the innate worth of work. Instead, says Schumacher, too many economists view consumption as the sole end of economic activity, often regarding labor as but a necessary evil – a cost to the employer and a disutility to the worker.[27] On the contrary he argued, quoting Pius XI, labor is “'decreed by Providence for the good of man's body and soul.'” St. Josemaria Escriva wrote this about the intrinsically spiritual nature of work:
God ‘waits for us every day, in the laboratory, in the operating room, in the army barracks, in the university chair, in the factory, in the workshop, in the fields, in the home, and in all the immense panorama of work. Understand this well: there is something holy, something divine, hidden in the most ordinary situations’….[28]
Next to the family, said Schumacher, work and the relationships established by work are the true foundations of society.[29] According to John Paul II, disciplined work promotes such virtues as diligence, industriousness, prudence in undertaking reasonable risks, reliability and fidelity in interpersonal relationships, and courage in carrying out decisions which are difficult and painful. “Work can be a means of sanctification....” [Catechism of the Catholic Church][30]
Supercapitalism has done away with the corporate statesmen that governed the Not Quite Golden Age.[31] As a rule, owners and managers of American industry nowadays are less concerned with whether work is good for people, than whether their people are good for profits.
A few years more than a decade into the supercapitalistic era, industry had begun predicting a growing "skills gap," due to inferior education in the United States combined with rapid growth in economic demand for higher skill levels.[32] Industry's vision for the U.S. economy was threefold. First, make schools more efficient at turning out astute and skillful workers.[33] Second (but rarely stated publicly) cultivate survival of the fittest competition that is fierce enough to spur workers into adapting themselves to industrial needs. Third, if both these approaches fail, automate or outsource the work to workers overseas.
With qualifications, the first two approaches are not without a measure of merit; but unless modified neither principle will serve the best interests of workers. The economy ought to serve as a tool in the hands of workers, not just workers as tools for the economy.[34]
As envisioned by some industrialists the utility of unemployment is like the missing stool in a gigantic game of musical chairs. The scarcity of places keeps the workers mobile, competitive and docile. However, rigging the labor market so some percentage of the workers will always loose their livelihood, no matter how diligently they try, is exploitative in the extreme. Spin doctors and marketing experts put the best light on this kind of exploitation by using euphemistic terms such as industrial reserve, economic flexibility and labor force mobility.
Punishing people for being non-technical is another dehumanizing aspect of supercapitalism. If the Declaration of Independence is correct that "pursuit of happiness" is one of our inalienable rights, and if one accepts Thomas Carlyle’s maxim, “blessed is he who has found his work;” then it follows that people pursuing happiness are entitled to job opportunities and variety in the array of available jobs. Some industry leaders seem to think they can put workers into the furnace of hard knocks and bake them to desired specifications. The batch that gets burned can be thrown into the ash can of unemployment or even imprisonment. The discarded workers deserve it; they failed to adapt.
Consistent with the blame-the-victim approach, or workers as tools for the economy mindset, is the general idea that workers must be retrained to fit a technocratic economy if they are to avoid unemployment or underemployment. Placing the burden of proof on workers to show they are conforming to the needs of industry puts a stringent twist on the Protestant work ethic. Working hard is not sufficient to meet this new and more exacting standard. You must also be willing to toil at a job that is neither satisfying nor matched to your aptitudes and potential. Surveys show that more than half of Americans dislike their jobs.[35] Does it follow that having a detestable job is their own fault? Or does the fault lie, rather, with the machine-like, ammoral nature of supercapitalism?
Retraining the unemployed as automatons for a supercapitalistic labor force is undesirable from the standpoint of many if not most workers. We see it as wrong ethically because it fails to take into account the differing aptitudes – physical, intellectual and emotional – among individuals. Moreover, as an overall approach to the problem of a slack labor market, retraining is a policy developed in Wonderland, at the department of chimeras and mirages. Even if the millions of unemployed and underemployed were all magically metamorphosed overnight into exact matches for the high skill vacancies in industry, the labor shortage there would instantaneously become a glut. Millions would still be jobless or underemployed.
Besides, such transformations never happen. So far as we know, human nature is not subject to radical change. Given the variegated aptitudes and inclinations associated with human beings, only a limited percentage of the work force will be able to make a living – even fewer will find satisfaction – in an economy that welcomes only technocratic types.
Educators can readily testify that a significant percentage of our youth are unable in some cases, unwilling or unmotivated in others, to acquire the equivalent of a high school education. So, pursued without modification, the vision of technitopia is creating, and will continue to create, a permanent underclass of jobless, sporadically employed and demoralized people.[36] This approach is reminiscent of the worker played by Charlie Chaplin in Modern Times (1936) who is driven berserk by an automated work environment. He ends up getting fired and going to jail.
Surely a more humane and advisable approach is to make economic decisions after considering both points of view – labor's as well as industry's. Pay raises and promotions provide the incentive and motivation that spurs labor to adapt to industrial change. Such reinforcement is sufficient, if combined with better education. Adding chronic unemployment to the equation as an additional lash to the back of labor is unnecessary. It is unwarranted in light of the American experience of rising from a pastoral and agricultural nation to a great industrial power, simultaneously with sustained labor shortage.
The constellation law would expand the market for labor across a wider spectrum of the economy. To promote work for workers of all types, blue collar and unskilled included, is preferable to an exclusive focus on the high skill sector of the labor market. It is neither equitable nor wise to eliminate jobs that demand other kinds of intelligence and other sorts of aptitudes. Phasing out such jobs through automation, or outsourcing them to East Asia, invites sociological calamity in America and an economy burdened with gigantic welfare bills.
Existing U.S. law, the Employment Act of 1946 (15 U.S.C. 1021) declares that it is the responsibility of the Federal Government to use “all practicable means” to create and maintain useful employment opportunities for those “able, willing, and seeking to work.” This statute, and the 1978 Humphrey-Hawkins bill,[38] are quite without teeth, however, as indicated by chronic joblessness, with but few respites since World War II.
John Paul II writes with respect to national economies, as well as the world economy, “there is something wrong with the organization of work and employment.”[39] His Laborem Exercens includes automation among the “new conditions and demands [which] will require a reordering and adjustment of the structures of the modern economy and of the distribution of work.”[40]
Wishful thinking and/or compassion fatigue tempt some economists to seek full-employment by redefining it.[41] They are willing to accept larger and larger rates of unemployment, five to six percent or even higher. As the late Senator Daniel Patrick Moynihan observed, the rates of unemployment that were thought intolerable in the early 1960s are now thought unattainable.[42] The penchant of some economists for explaining away unemployment is “intellectual bankruptcy” and indulgence in “newspeak” according to economist Robert Lekachman.[43] Or as former US Senator and economist Eugene McCarthy put it, “there has been a slow deterioration in both the fact and the norm of 'full-employment.'”[44]
What is proposed in this chapter is a practical and non-inflationary alternative to expansionary Keynesian policies. Being a structural alternative, it avoids the fallacy that economic growth alone is sufficient to solve the unemployment problem.
In 2004 U.S. Treasury Secretary, John Snow, reiterated this fallacy in economically hard-hit Ohio, when asked about the outsourcing of American jobs. Sec. Snow replied: “If we can keep the American economy strong and growing and expanding, we'll create lots of jobs.”[47] The year previous, in his State of the Union Address, President George W. Bush had also embraced this fallacy:
We must have an economy that grows fast enough to employ every man and woman who seeks a job…. Jobs are created when the economy grows; the economy grows when Americans have more money to spend and invest….
Yes, Mr. President, growth is often desirable. But growth alone is consistently a failure as a solution to unemployment and underemployment.[48] Moreover, growth is sometimes deleterious in some of its side effects. “Growth for the sake of growth is the ideology of the cancer cell.”[49] Among the cases in point: control of the economy by trusts and monopolies before the turn of the 20th century was among the results of unrestrained growth. Again a century later, irresponsible and unregulated growth in global supercapitalism gave rise to multinational mega-corporations answerable neither to environmental protections nor to labor laws enacted by our elected representatives, nor subject to collective bargaining by labor unions.
As with many aspects of human endeavor, work has its natural trichotomy: agriculture, manufacturing and services. In the year 1820 some 79 percent of the American labor force was engaged in farming. The Industrial Revolution brought urbanization, however, and by 1910 farmers comprised only about 31 percent of the labor force. Today the agricultural sector employs less than four percent.[50] The demand for farm labor declined as new technology in agriculture enabled fewer hands to produce more food. Meanwhile the workers who left the farm had to find work in cities, mainly in the manufacturing sector.
In the 20th century even the manufacturing sector began to employ a declining percentage of the labor force. Mechanization and automation, followed in time by outsourcing, enabled some factories to produce increasing quantities of output with decreases in wages. By 2003 factory jobs were fast disappearing.[51] Again an expanding sector of the economy – this time the service sector – was able to employ, though at lower wages, the growing proportion of the working population who were excluded from manufacturing.
Service type occupations in 1920 accounted for just over a third of the labor force, but by 1980 two-thirds.[52] Supercapitalism began offering American labor a back-to-the-wall dilemma, in that even service sector wages and benefits fell due to automation and outsourcing, even as the bargaining power of depleted unions fell.[53] When you call for technical support with your computer, a relatively low wage-earner in India may well answer the telephone. Paralleling unemployment in the service sector is the under-employment deriving from poverty level wages and/or short hours.[54]
Not even local service industries sheltered from global competition can escape the supercapitalist “steamroller” (to borrow Professor Reich's metaphor) which suppresses real wages everywhere. With their overpowering purchasing influence, a host of multinational corporations led by Wall Mart squeeze the entire production system. Reversing the former role of unions in raising wages even for unorganized workers, multinationals depress prevailing wages across an industry, and all the world's wage-stingy supercapitalist industries combine to exert a restraining or downward push on real wages in all three sectors of labor within this and other nations.[54a]
There is, unfortunately, no fourth sector to which labor can migrate. Just as the end of the frontier in 1893 took away the restless American’s option to “go west young man,” so the advent of supercapitalism has deprived workers of a place to go for a new start. The prospect of quality jobs being automated away or exported, combined with poverty level wages in service sectors, has led to such books as The Collapse of Work by two British labor union researchers.
The authors, Clive Jenkins and Barrie Sherman, point out that unlike unemployment early in the 20th century, which rose and fell primarily in response to economic slumps or booms; recent levels of unemployment have been rising in Europe and the U.S.A. even during periods of economic prosperity.[55] The “jobless economic recovery” of the second Bush Administration comes to mind. In the economies of the West, where automated methods supply goods and services, John Stuart Mill's old dictum is now coming home to roost: “`the demand for commodities is not the demand for labor.'”[56] Expansions in aggregate demand (i.e. demand for commodities) will no longer create jobs, or rather not fast enough to match the pace of the increase in productivity. Economic growth and demand management policies – both fiscal and monetary – are yielding ever diminishing returns as a solution to underemployment and unemployment.[57]
Postmodern changes in the economy's structure have been called a second industrial revolution.[58] Machines are performing the functions of the operator — unlike the first industrial revolution in which technological developments expanded the output of goods and services rather than systematically reducing the workforce.[59] Formerly, technological advances served as tools extending man's intelligence, intuition and ingenuity. Now robot techniques make redundant many of the human skills that would necessitate initiative and judgment.[60] Moreover, in the past, technological advances created many manufacturing jobs to produce the new machinery, whereas microprocessor technology reduces the overall number of jobs by introducing products that contain fewer parts than the machines they replace.[61]
In addition to technological unemployment, another source of joblessness looms on the horizon: saturation of demand.[62] Nonetheless, economists in the mold of MIT Professor Emeritus, Paul A. Samuelson, defend the demand management approach to unemployment. They argue that growth and extra consumption can still pick up the employment slack created by automation. Expanding consumption is supposed to generate new jobs to produce the extras we consume, and to offset the jobs lost to machines or outsourcing. One difficulty with this approach is suggested by Mercer and Morgen who present evidence that demand saturation was one of the causes of the Great Depression, as the productivity increases of the 1920's began to outpace the increases in demand.[63]
What will happen in the 21st century as more and more of the labor force looks to be employed in services? As Fritz Scharpf, a German economist, observes, "the time required for the actual use of services cannot be reduced substantially."[64] If there is a saturation point for consumption of mass produced goods like washing machines and electric can openers,[65] which are time saving for the consumer, how much more surely must there be a ceiling on expansion of services, given that there are but 24 hours per day for consumers to utilize time consuming services. Mass production requires mass consumption. And time constraints for the consumer impose limits on the demand for services and also therefore on the production and employment level in that sector. According to Scharpf, services "cannot be extrapolated without limit, and hence, they cannot support ‘postindustrial’ hopes for an expansion of service employment."[66]
Sooner or later not just the people who oppose rampant consumerism on principle,[67] or the rich (who save proportionately more of their incomes), but the major portion of the populace will approach a saturation point in the quest for ever more consumption.[68] Then consumerism must fall further and further short of the exponential growth of acquisition required if employment is to keep pace with automation and outsourcing.[69] Consequently, to achieve full-employment there must be another approach than the ever accelerating consumption that is key to strategies based on economic growth.[70]
The tendency in some circles to downplay the seriousness of labor force trends is disconcerting. Already the problem is severe. At 6.5 percent of the labor force (the average unemployment rate during the first 40 years of the postmodernist era, 1964-2003), jobless Americans would pack 154 Yankee stadiums. At five percent, the low for the same period, Yankee stadium would be filled 108 times. Scores more stadiums would overflow with the workers who no longer collect unemployment due to exhausted benefits, frustration with fruitless searching, or both. In April 2003, The New York Times reported that Americans either working or actively looking for work had fallen to just under two-thirds of the adult population. Outside of official U.S. labor force statistics, then, were 74.5 million adults, up more than 4 million in just two years:
...the surge of dropouts suggests that the jobless rate – which was 5.8 percent last month, roughly where it has been for the past year – offers an artificially sanguine picture of the labor market, many economists say. “People use the unemployment rate as some kind of gauge of the health of the economy,” said Robert H. Topel, a professor of economics at the University of Chicago. But because of the number of people now outside of the labor force, he said, “the unemployment rate does not give you the same kind of information it did in the 1970's or 1960's.”[71]
Economists, and press secretaries for the President, issue economic reports upbeat in proportion as the official jobless rates drop, or but slightly rise. Their assured statements based on misleading data or shaky statistics is reminiscent of confident announcements recently about conditions on the surface of an extrasolar planet invisible from even the most powerful astronomical observatories.
Official jobless figures are only the tip of the statistical iceberg. Underemployment — working in fast food restaurants, day-care centers and other low paying service industries, or in part-time jobs — may take people off BLS unemployment roles, but it still leaves these people in poverty.[72] David Shipler’s revealing book, The Working Poor (2004), describes their plight poignantly.
John D. Kasarda noted in 1990 that "by all accounts" the U.S. leads the world in job creation.[73] Yet a study by the congressional Joint Economic Committee found that most new jobs had been of "dubious quality."[74] Economist Juliet Schor calculated that a typical 1990 wage earner had to work six extra weeks per year to earn the average wage of 1973.[75] At the turn of the 21st century Robert Reich noted that Americans were working harder than the workaholic Japanese, and outworked Europeans by 350 hours per year.[76]
The problem with much of America's new employment is that it "consists of poverty level, dead-end, service-sector jobs that contribute little or nothing to the nation's productivity and international competitiveness." Many Americans have to work two such jobs, or even three, just to make ends meet. America is becoming an "increasingly polarized nation composed of investment bankers and corporate lawyers at one end and hamburger flippers and car washers at the other."[77]
By the end of America's Not Quite Golden Age, only 40 percent of the jobs in the American economy paid enough to support a family,[78] that is to keep a family above the poverty level with the income provided by a single wage earner working forty hours per week. Alas, the ethic of a "family wage" had gone the way of the family business and the family farm. In place of "democratic capitalism," under which many employers followed an unwritten law that the single wage be high enough so one breadwinner could support a family; the supercapitalism of the postmodern era necessitates dual incomes, with both parents in the labor force, and a burgeoning industry in day-care centers (where workers get paid minimum wages).[79]
Only by ignoring Mill's dictum and overlooking empirical developments in the economy since mid-century is the strategy plausible that would expand aggregate demand for goods and services, on the assumption that firms will be a kind of economic stomach digesting consumer demands and converting them into demand for labor. This conversion process still operates of course, but it worked better in Keynes day than in our own age of stagflation, automation and job flight to third-world economies. As distinguished from Keynesian fiscal policy, or the monetary demand management approach of Milton Friedman, the following is a structural approach.
In 1955, in order to insert a Christian dimension into the May Day festivities then almost monopolized by Marxists, Pope Pius XII made May 1st an annual Church celebration, the feast of St. Joseph the Worker. On that occasion the Pope noted that as labor strives to improve wages and working conditions …
the worker comes up against a certain structure
which, so far from being
in conformity with the nature of things, is opposed to
God’s order and to
the purpose He has assigned to this world’s goods.[80]
Accordingly, the constellation law addresses the problem of unemployment as one of structure. The attack on unemployment would be launched structurally under section seven. A jobs levy (section 7: 9-12) will reward directly those firms that are structured so as to employ proportionately more labor, because the tax burden for them will be lighter than for competitors whose production methods are contrary to labor intensity.[81] At the same time, jobs levy tax revenues (section 7: 5-8) will provide the financing for labor intensive public works, conducted through a program of Private Enterprise Projects (PEP). This two pronged attack on unemployment, with spending that is labor intensive and taxing that is capital intensive, would avoid no-gain job substitution that has plagued earlier job creation programs.[82] Heretofore revenue sources have been little differentiated from the public works themselves in terms of labor intensity. Consequently jobs are lost as much by withdrawing tax money from the private sector, as by putting jobs back into the economy via public works.
Once the pincers attack on unemployment starts to yield results,, meaning that the problems of involuntary unemployment and underemployment begin to ease and the labor market commences to tighten; then working men and women will find themselves in a position of greater strength vis-à-vis management.[82a] Historically, organized labor has made memorable gains during years when the job market was tight.[82b] It is full-employment that will vastly strengthen labor and will empower rank-and-file workers to reach for improvements in real wages, rather than smiling sycophantically as the CEO leaves corporate headquarters in his Ferrari. Thus a restructuring of capitalism to generate full-employment will constitute a counterrevolution to the profit margins now enriching upper level management and their cronies on Wall Street, while leaving main street workers behind.
But labor’s reach cannot cross borders easily, or bargain collectively with a boss who leaves the country in order to “bottom fish” for cheaper deals in the foreign labor markets.[82c] Many U.S. corporations have no qualms about betraying their fellow countrymen and moving overseas to escape the reach of organized labor. Against this temptation, under section 7:11 of the constellation law, the withholding of jobs levy tax credits will exercise a punitive influence on companies who outsource production and meanwhile seek to market the goods and services in the U.S. In other words, American firms will find outsourcing less to their liking. Increasingly, there will be more to lose by fleeing than by staying and negotiating with American workers..
The constellation amendment, section 7:2, provides a fall-back procedure should unemployment become so severe at some point in the future that the measures described above fall short of securing full-employment. The Federal government would have the authority, by appropriate legislation, to reduce the duration of the workweek; workmonth or workyear; thus providing a job for everyone at say 9-1/2 months per year (like schoolteachers), or four days per week, rather than the "ins" averaging upwards of 40 hours per week while the "outs" get zero.[83]
During the 12 months ending in January, 2003, the workweek in the US averaged 34 hours per week, but with variations as wide as 13 hours per week depending on the sector of the economy. Certain types of manufacturing averaged as high as 45 hours per week.[84]
Firms with high training costs or considerable fringe benefits are tempted today to increase production through mandatory overtime.[85] For example, six and seven day weeks, sometimes for several months or more, led to a major strike against Boeing Airplane Co. in late 1989. Similarly, steel industry managers have ordered the use of overtime rather than recall of laid-off workers. The mining industry has used overtime in the midst of severe unemployment.[86] When management overworks people and undermines the pursuit of happiness through family life, for no purpose other than to let the firm turn away applicants for work and avoid the expense of training and paying them benefits, then we must conclude that the economy is not just employing but exploiting labor, and that it is capital not labor that takes priority.
Only by ignoring history can an economist maintain that cutting government regulation will suffice to solve involuntary overtime problems. Unfunded mandates on industry for health insurance and other employee benefits is to be sure an incentive for industry to work fewer employees harder, and to take advantage of loopholes in government regulations by hiring part-timers and temporaries who get no benefits. But what about the many decades before World War II when government regulations were minimal or non-existent? The six day week and 12 hour day were the norm during the hey-day of laissez faire economics. Unless labor defends its interests through collective bargaining or the democratic process, management will lengthen or shorten workdays and workweeks primarily on the basis of corporate profits. Profiteering is, after all management’s job. It is human nature for entrepreneurs and their managers to neglect factors other than profit, such as quality of family life the effect of long hours on the worker’s satisfaction happiness in life and satisfaction deriving from work.
The solution is to introduce considerations that owners and managers dare not ignore. Against exploitation and the untamed capitalism that put profits before the vital interests of people, the constellation law, section 7:3, would authorize legal checks, instituted by a revitalized Congress, against the overtime that causes unemployment in the economy.
Some of the aforementioned measures need to be implemented as soon as possible. Moreover the provisions of section seven are like weapons to be stockpiled before the adversary arrives in full force, whether the foe be massive technological dislocation of workers or demand saturation or both.
What is proposed here is a practical and non-inflationary alternative to expansionary policies. As distinguished from Keynesian fiscal policy, or the monetary demand management approach of the Milton Friedman school, the proposed structural approach would attack unemployment directly by stimulating demand for labor as labor. Basically the idea is to secure legal avenues for a kind of pincers attack on unemployment, with both direct and indirect generation of jobs during the fiscal years when normal market mechanisms fail to achieve full-employment.
The fall-back approach of shortening hours of work also involves a double assault on unemployment, but only one of them is structural. First, shorter time per year on the job will reduce the labor supply structurally and tighten the labor market. Second, the increased leisure per worker/consumer will stimulate consumption and market demand. By giving Americans more time to use the products they are urged to purchase, spending increases. “Leisure is not…a drain on the economy, but a lubricant.”[87]
However, because the increased leisure approach relies partly on increased economic demand which, thanks to automation / outsourcing, translates into proportionately fewer jobs, this is a decreasingly effective way of generating work. Also the reduced hours might put pressure on firms "to streamline operations" [layoffs?] or "invest in additional equipment" [automation leading to displacement of labor].[88] Further, laws limiting hours are easier for firms to evade than sales taxes.[89] The working poor are especially vulnerable to firms that ask employees to work unreported and unpaid hours every day.[90]
Finally, as Juliet Schor concedes in her excellent study, The Overworked American: The Unexpected Decline of Leisure, "the problem of worktime cannot be solved without...a durable solution for the crisis of unemployment and underemployment plaguing this economy."[91] In other words, it makes more economic sense to create a tight labor market that strengthens labor in collective bargaining agreements for better hours. Government intervention that levels the playing field so that fully employed workers bargain from a position of strength in their own workplace is more in the natural order of things than government helping workers by imposing limits on their hours. To be sure automation may itself be so far out of the organic order that it necessitates rather artificial means to protect flesh and blood citizens against the encroachment of machines. Hours legislation may eventually be unavoidable. Until then we had best prioritize the more natural strategy of generating jobs rather than regulating the duration of any particular job.
For a thorough treatment of the issue of shorter hours, including its potential as a means to reduce unemployment, see the cited works of Eugene McCarthy and William McGaughey, Harvard Professor Juliet B. Schor, and Cornell University economists, Ronald G. Ehrenberg & Paul L. Schumann.
To meet the problems of unemployment and underemployment, the arch-amendment mandates no government activity of any specific type; but new alternatives would be placed at the disposal of the President in conjunction with a term-limited Congress whose membership is more populist and less beholden to plutocrats. In the interest of flexibility, the constellation law imposes no timetable. These options would be available for some use now, and more intensive utilization as soon as developments call for it. If forecasts of surging structural unemployment are realized soon, we have just time to get ready; if the economic reckoning is postponed, we will loose nothing by an early preparation.
Automation is a process whereby machines replace people in the production of goods and services. At the beginning of the postmodernist era, a dictionary of economics described automation as follows:
Automation
includes almost every operation that dispenses with human assistance
or
control, whether because of the newly developed control machinery or
because of mechanical improvements on the assembly line.[92]
Automation was a feature of the postmodernist economy for years until outsourcing accentuated the problems for American workers in terms of joblessness and underemployment. This dual source of upheaval is like a double edged sword. Wielded by finance supercapitalists, whom William Greider compares to “Robespierre” and his guillotine of French Revolutionary Terror, the decapitated victims of the postmodern economic revolution are the millions of rank and file workers who have lost their well-paying jobs.[93]
During roughly the last quarter century of the 20th century, the 500 largest multi-national corporations grew sevenfold in sales, yet yielded no gains in the number of people employed.[94] In other words the leading firms of the postmodernist economy sold many times more products, which had to be produced in vastly greater quantity, and yet the number of people doing the producing remained constant. Clearly someone – or rather something – accounted for the extra production, but it was not job growth. Over the long term, net hiring trends remained flat within the 500 giant corporations.
Would not the economy, polity, and society have been healthier if the same production increases had been accompanied by enough new hires to generate full-employment? Would not 20th century America have been a better country, with happier workers, if the expansion of employment had sufficiently outpaced both population increases and growth in the economy, and by margins sufficient to fully employ the labor force?
Full-employment would have put labor in a stronger position to demand their share of the exuberantly expanding economy. During the "not quite golden age" ending in the mid-1970s, economic growth had been fairly evenly divided between rich and poor, with the lowest one-fifth scoring the greatest gains in income. But during the supercapitalist era, the lowest one-fifth have hardly gained at all; poor and middle-class Americans have fallen further and further behind the rich and the very rich. Supercapitalism, the postmodernist economic system, has worked to radically widen income inequality.
By 2005 one-seventh of the nation's wealth was going to the richest one percent of Americans.[94a] Here is how much the top 20 percent of American families saw their fortunes advance relative to modest gains for the middle class, and virtually no gains for poor families:
|
Income
growth for lowest 1/5 to highest 1/5 of U.S. families: |
|
|
Lowest
to highest quintile of American families, 1974-2004 |
|
Source: |
Economic
Policy Institute, The State of
Working America, 2006/7, Chapter 1, figure 11, referenced in Robert
Reich, Supercapitalism (Knopf, 2007), p. 106. |
The reader will note once again that from 1947-1973, prior to the emergence of supercapitalism, it was the poor, the lowest quintile, who claimed the highest percentage of income increases, a starkly different trend than seen above in figure 8.1.
Also before supercapitalism, chief executive officers (CEOs) in major corporations were
very well paid, but not yet disgracefully so.
During the decade of the 1960's they earned 39 times the pay of the average
American worker. Alas, that 39 to 1 advantage was unsatisfactory to
postmodernist supercapitalists. Within twenty years the disparity between
wages and compensation paid to CEOs had widened to 69 to 1. During the
1990's CEO's in the 50 largest U.S. corporations were making 187 times what the
average worker received. By 2006, the CEO / worker wage ratio was 364 to 1
Imagine, however, a labor market where no line of unemployed people clamors for work, and desirable jobs are plentiful. Management will then have to share the wealth. CEO’s may even have to give up the chauffeur-driven limo and drive their own automobile to work (possibly an Oldsmobile, Chrysler, or Mustang after they sell their Ferrari).
We cannot redo postmodernist economic history, but we can look to the future and address the widening gap in income inequality. We can promote full-employment with all its attendant boons to the poor and help for the middle class. Such is a prime socio-economic purpose of the constellation law. The jobs levy would finance PEP, the labor intensive public works projects delineated in the arch-amendment, section seven. Simultaneously, being a sales tax graduated to favor products produced by human beings, and therefore to favor firms that involve more people in the production process, the jobs levy would encourage labor intensity wherever practical in the economy. The effect of the jobs levy would thus be threefold: (1) to discourage displacement of workers with machines; (2) to introduce a disincentive for firms to cut expenses by using cheap, outsourced labor; and (3) to levy revenues for labor-intensive public works projects in the United States.
A form of fear and a line of opposition sure to arise against any intervention by t